Cardio Guide

How To Calculate Running Pace

Pace is the most practical metric in running. Understanding it, and how to use pace zones in training, is the difference between running harder and running smarter.

Cardio ? 5 min read Evidence-based UK context

Pace vs Speed

Pace is the time it takes to cover one unit of distance, expressed as min/km or min/mile. Speed is how far you cover per unit of time, km/h or mph. They're inversely related: a 5:00/km pace = 12 km/h speed.

Pace is more practical for runners because it directly tells you how fast you need to run to hit a target finish time. Speed in km/h = 60 - pace in min/km.

Common Race Pace Targets

Target TimeDistanceRequired Pace
25:005K5:00 /km
30:005K6:00 /km
45:0010K4:30 /km
1:00:0010K6:00 /km
1:45:00Half Marathon4:58 /km
2:00:00Half Marathon5:41 /km
3:30:00Marathon4:58 /km
4:00:00Marathon5:41 /km

The 80/20 Training Rule

Research on elite endurance athletes consistently shows they spend approximately 80% of training in easy zones and only 20% at threshold and above. Most recreational runners make the mistake of doing most training at a 'moderate' intensity, too hard for aerobic base benefits, too easy to drive speed improvements.

Running your easy runs genuinely easy (at a pace where you can hold a full conversation) is one of the most impactful changes most runners can make.

Race Prediction: The Riegel Formula

The Riegel formula predicts finish times at different distances from a known race result: T2 = T1 - (D2 - D1)^1.06. The exponent of 1.06 accounts for pacing fatigue at longer distances. Most accurate when predicting between distances within 2-4- of your known race.

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Frequently Asked Questions

For complete beginners, any pace where you can hold a conversation is appropriate, typically 7:00-9:00 min/km. The goal early on is building time on feet and aerobic base, not speed. Most beginners see their easy pace improve naturally within 8-12 weeks.
The most common mistake is going out too fast. Start 5-10 seconds per km slower than target pace for the first 10km, then settle in. Even splits or a slight negative split (second half slightly faster) produces the best results. The last 10km is where the race truly starts.
Use whichever unit your race is measured in. The important thing is consistency, pick one unit for a training cycle so your pace perception stays calibrated.
Most accurate between distances of similar length, predicting 10K from 5K, or marathon from half marathon. Less accurate as the distance gap increases. Individual training preparation also affects real-world results significantly.